cocos228: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Not enough evidence Rejected
Only 8 resolved trades — not enough to judge. Reservation: win rate rests on only 1 settled market; only 8 resolved trades; margin on volume -10.4% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 93 8 resolved · 9% of them
- Win rate
- 100% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -10% $4096.28 on $0.00 traded
- Copyability
- 82 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where cocos228 actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 75 | 10 | 100% | $19441.25 |
| Politics | 50 | 83 | 0% | −$32349.88 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 30 days before resolution. Average fill size $1335.74; average spread paid 0.8¢; average book liquidity $2537839.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-11: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 1 settled market
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed