456ythgbvcadscvb: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only On the watchlist
Edge only in geopolitics — copy that category alone. Reservation: margin on volume -3.6% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 316 66 resolved · 21% of them
- Win rate
- 67% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -4% $4706.16 on $1100.00 traded
- Copyability
- 81 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where 456ythgbvcadscvb actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 67 | 13 | 100% | $927.69 |
| Sports | 60 | 2 | 100% | $250.00 |
| Politics | 56 | 121 | 50% | $9209.84 |
| Other markets | 50 | 16 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Macro & economics | 28 | 164 | 62% | −$18726.79 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 46 days before resolution. Average fill size $734.22; average spread paid 0.9¢; average book liquidity $438099.99. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
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