pop: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too early to copy On the watchlist
Enters a median 104d before resolution — capital would sit idle. Reservation: 62% of profit from a single trade; win rate rests on only 5 settled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 102 21 resolved · 21% of them
- Win rate
- 43% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 30% $5352.84 on $0.00 traded
- Copyability
- 81 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where pop actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 67 | 11 | 100% | $1054.18 |
| Macro & economics | 57 | 7 | 14% | $8903.49 |
| Politics | 50 | 28 | 0% | $6924.80 |
| Other markets | 29 | 56 | 0% | −$641.49 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 104 days before resolution. Average fill size $530.10; average spread paid 0.6¢; average book liquidity $308812.91. A large share of the profit came from one market, which is not a repeatable signal.
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed