xm39: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too early to copy Rejected
Enters a median 106d before resolution — capital would sit idle. Reservation: 100% of profit from a single trade; win rate rests on only 1 settled market; ROI -116.1% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 384 54 resolved · 14% of them
- Win rate
- 0% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -116% $9851.51 on $0.00 traded
- Copyability
- 81 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where xm39 actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 50 | 330 | 0% | −$36077.68 |
| Macro & economics | 6 | 54 | 0% | −$36663.05 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 106 days before resolution. Average fill size $163.13; average spread paid 1.0¢; average book liquidity $1132254.88. A large share of the profit came from one market, which is not a repeatable signal.
Follow xm39 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed