darkumbreon88: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable On the watchlist
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: ROI -1.1% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 365 96 resolved · 26% of them
- Win rate
- 69% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -1% $18441.95 on $52247.89 traded
- Copyability
- 81 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where darkumbreon88 actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 76 | 11 | 100% | $123.83 |
| Other markets | 75 | 158 | 48% | $1005.87 |
| Sports | 39 | 196 | 91% | −$1670.36 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 3 days before resolution. Average fill size $129.37; average spread paid 1.1¢; average book liquidity $1045358.38. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
The desk has judged 498 of this wallet's fills: 0 copied on paper, 7 watched, 491 skipped. No copies have settled yet.
Recent fills
| Market | Side | Price | Size | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY Chicago Cubs | 65.0¢ | $498.33 | 2026-09-24 |
| Andorra vs. Malta: O/U 1.5 | BUY Over | 51.0¢ | $3.12 | 2026-09-24 |
| Will Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-24? | BUY Yes | 74.0¢ | $4.03 | 2026-09-24 |
| Norway vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score | BUY Yes | 61.0¢ | $3.69 | 2026-09-24 |
| Norway vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score | BUY Yes | 61.0¢ | $6.91 | 2026-09-24 |
| Norway vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score | BUY Yes | 61.0¢ | $4.60 | 2026-09-24 |
| Norway vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score | BUY Yes | 61.0¢ | $1.83 | 2026-09-24 |
| Norway vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score | BUY Yes | 61.0¢ | $20.44 | 2026-09-24 |
Follow darkumbreon88 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed