scottilicious: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?

0x000d257d2dc7616feaef4ae0f14600fdf50a758e · leaderboard rank #241 · on Polymarket ↗

Copyable in one category only On the watchlist

Edge only in geopolitics — copy that category alone. Reservation: win rate rests on only 1 settled market; margin on volume 4.0% below floor.

Trades, 30 days
357
52 resolved · 15% of them
Win rate
100%
on resolved markets
Margin on volume
4%
$4650.84 on $137779.63 traded
Copyability
81/100
liquidity, spread, post-fill drift

Where scottilicious actually wins

Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.

CategoryScoreMarketsWin rateP&L
Geopolitics7365100%$8118.76
Politics502810%$22477.18
Other markets50110%$1112.27

Could you have copied these trades?

Typical entry about 39 days before resolution. Average fill size $2215.79; average spread paid 0.9¢; average book liquidity $275720.74. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.

Follow scottilicious on paper, at your size

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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed

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Figures are the desk's 30-day research read of public Polymarket data, refreshed every few hours. “Margin on volume” is net P&L ÷ traded volume, not return on capital. Paper results are simulated. Nothing here is financial advice. Last updated 2026-10-02.