Joe-Biden: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: win rate rests on only 1 settled market; margin on volume -37.7% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 110 35 resolved · 32% of them
- Win rate
- 0% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -38% $7112.16 on $0.00 traded
- Copyability
- 81 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Joe-Biden actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 50 | 5 | 0% | −$12612.88 |
| Politics | 50 | 70 | 0% | $750.62 |
| Other markets | 9 | 35 | 0% | −$4552.08 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 36 days before resolution. Average fill size $396.07; average spread paid 0.6¢; average book liquidity $2214979.12. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-14: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 1 settled market
Follow Joe-Biden on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed