cosmicsteaks: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: ROI -3.6% below floor. wide spreads (avg 4.1c).
- Trades, 30 days
- 282 23 resolved · 8% of them
- Win rate
- 13% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -4% $794.24 on $1901.91 traded
- Copyability
- 57 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where cosmicsteaks actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 54 | 3 | 100% | $3.44 |
| Politics | 50 | 32 | 0% | −$155.93 |
| Culture & entertainment | 50 | 3 | 0% | $9.04 |
| Macro & economics | 50 | 5 | 0% | −$36.27 |
| Sports | 36 | 8 | 0% | −$94.24 |
| Other markets | 31 | 231 | 11% | $3.37 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 7 days before resolution. Average fill size $26.48; average spread paid 4.3¢; average book liquidity $6043.12. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow cosmicsteaks on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed