sifonman: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable On the watchlist
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: ROI -2.1% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 319 141 resolved · 44% of them
- Win rate
- 63% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -2% $21694.20 on $60176.26 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where sifonman actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 60 | 2 | 100% | $724.73 |
| Sports | 33 | 306 | 64% | −$10456.02 |
| Other markets | 32 | 11 | 29% | −$2204.34 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $1817.68; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow sifonman on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed