ArthurSpooner: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: ROI -8.9% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 294 15 resolved · 5% of them
- Win rate
- 87% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -9% $3936.97 on $60923.15 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where ArthurSpooner actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 50 | 12 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Politics | 50 | 5 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Culture & entertainment | 50 | 1 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Sports | 43 | 65 | 80% | −$2122.17 |
| Other markets | 42 | 211 | 90% | −$1204.06 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 7 days before resolution. Average fill size $126.75; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow ArthurSpooner on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed