yexiaodong333: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only On the watchlist
Edge only in geopolitics — copy that category alone. Reservation: 77% of profit from a single trade; win rate rests on only 2 settled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 33 23 resolved · 70% of them
- Win rate
- 30% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 32% $3177.86 on $15501.76 traded
- Copyability
- 81 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where yexiaodong333 actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 65 | 8 | 50% | $24250.49 |
| Politics | 50 | 2 | 0% | −$653.62 |
| Crypto | 50 | 3 | 0% | $3530.29 |
| Macro & economics | 23 | 20 | 20% | −$11502.28 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 18 days before resolution. Average fill size $1501.39; average spread paid 1.0¢; average book liquidity $857615.79. A large share of the profit came from one market, which is not a repeatable signal.
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed