Carlosoiu: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable On the watchlist
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -1.0% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 301 39 resolved · 13% of them
- Win rate
- 44% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -1% $3577.71 on $56492.14 traded
- Copyability
- 81 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Carlosoiu actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 50 | 2 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Macro & economics | 50 | 3 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Crypto | 50 | 2 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Politics | 44 | 21 | 33% | −$144.40 |
| Other markets | 43 | 157 | 46% | $191.98 |
| Sports | 34 | 116 | 42% | −$1243.84 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $381.15; average spread paid 1.0¢; average book liquidity $300473.24. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow Carlosoiu on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed