noclevername: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: ROI -8.3% below floor. wide spreads (avg 19.9c); very small average ticket — may be noise.
- Trades, 30 days
- 329 28 resolved · 9% of them
- Win rate
- 39% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -8% $2289.03 on $2005.67 traded
- Copyability
- 43 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where noclevername actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 44 | 1 | 0% | −$8.34 |
| Other markets | 24 | 328 | 41% | −$177.09 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 17 hours before resolution. Average fill size $6.78; average spread paid 19.7¢; average book liquidity $13715.06. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
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