phredmoz: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -5.6% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 365 55 resolved · 15% of them
- Win rate
- 53% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -6% $6203.33 on $38355.24 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where phredmoz actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 50 | 6 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Politics | 50 | 2 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Crypto | 50 | 20 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Other markets | 28 | 57 | 22% | −$6742.78 |
| Sports | 27 | 280 | 59% | −$8598.72 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 7 days before resolution. Average fill size $747.53; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-03: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -5.6% below floor
Follow phredmoz on paper, at your size
Stratex Hub mirrors the desk's copies from published wallets into a paper account sized to your bankroll, and benchmarks every one against blind copying. No keys, no funds, nothing to install. Free for 90 days.
Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed