Rapinha: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable On the watchlist
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -0.2% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 369 71 resolved · 19% of them
- Win rate
- 55% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -0% $5761.01 on $45490.62 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Rapinha actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 50 | 6 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Other markets | 40 | 363 | 55% | −$85.38 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry unknown (no end dates on sampled markets). Average fill size $100.79; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow Rapinha on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed