coinlaundry: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only Rejected
Edge only in geopolitics — copy that category alone. Reservation: margin on volume -4.0% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 244 201 resolved · 82% of them
- Win rate
- 66% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -4% $18892.00 on $254932.89 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where coinlaundry actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 69 | 25 | 100% | $790.53 |
| Other markets | 39 | 72 | 94% | −$18589.53 |
| Sports | 21 | 147 | 39% | −$12048.81 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $3094.75; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-03: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -4.0% below floor
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed