TheRealWarMonger: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too early to copy On the watchlist
Enters a median 78d before resolution — capital would sit idle. Reservation: win rate rests on only 3 settled markets; margin on volume -2.0% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 363 10 resolved · 3% of them
- Win rate
- 90% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -2% $3937.78 on $2211.43 traded
- Copyability
- 81 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where TheRealWarMonger actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 50 | 32 | 0% | $15.08 |
| Macro & economics | 50 | 75 | 0% | $2108.14 |
| Politics | 45 | 62 | 100% | −$2671.40 |
| Other markets | 44 | 194 | 0% | −$3566.82 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 78 days before resolution. Average fill size $555.73; average spread paid 0.9¢; average book liquidity $216949.41. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow TheRealWarMonger on paper, at your size
Stratex Hub mirrors the desk's copies from published wallets into a paper account sized to your bankroll, and benchmarks every one against blind copying. No keys, no funds, nothing to install. Free for 90 days.
Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed