ArielFilipino: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?

0xe18ecc345e00ee7c4f2d1f676f3dd2acb112f826 · leaderboard rank #181 · on Polymarket ↗

Copyable in one category only On the watchlist

Edge only in sports — copy that category alone. Reservation: win rate rests on only 3 settled markets.

Trades, 30 days
393
121 resolved · 31% of them
Win rate
100%
on resolved markets
Margin on volume
12%
$7883.43 on $191725.77 traded
Copyability
77/100
liquidity, spread, post-fill drift

Where ArielFilipino actually wins

Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.

CategoryScoreMarketsWin rateP&L
Sports97146100%$48441.38
Other markets502470%−$4668.04

Could you have copied these trades?

Typical entry about 2 days before resolution. Average fill size $924.98; average spread paid 1.0¢; average book liquidity $124655.04. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.

Follow ArielFilipino on paper, at your size

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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed

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Figures are the desk's 30-day research read of public Polymarket data, refreshed every few hours. “Margin on volume” is net P&L ÷ traded volume, not return on capital. Paper results are simulated. Nothing here is financial advice. Last updated 2026-10-03.