rplc-ftbl: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only Followed by the desk
Edge only in sports — copy that category alone.
- Trades, 30 days
- 319 87 resolved · 27% of them
- Win rate
- 67% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 7% $8568.49 on $78901.67 traded
- Copyability
- 77 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where rplc-ftbl actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 89 | 94 | 87% | $4079.26 |
| Other markets | 50 | 66 | 0% | −$513.67 |
| Crypto | 21 | 159 | 37% | −$150.40 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 7 days before resolution. Average fill size $145.04; average spread paid 1.0¢; average book liquidity $88291.22. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
The desk has judged 436 of this wallet's fills: 3 copied on paper, 187 watched, 246 skipped. Across 3 settled markets copied at $5–$20, the desk realised $6.70 (2 of 3 positions won).
Recent fills
| Market | Side | Price | Size | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | BUY Down | 88.0¢ | $20.84 | 2026-10-04 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | BUY Up | 44.0¢ | $8.91 | 2026-10-04 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY Down | 19.5¢ | $4.77 | 2026-10-04 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY Up | 56.0¢ | $7.60 | 2026-10-04 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY Up | 71.0¢ | $16.53 | 2026-10-04 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7PM ET | BUY Down | 69.0¢ | $11.49 | 2026-10-03 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7PM ET | BUY Down | 48.0¢ | $3.31 | 2026-10-03 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | BUY Down | 82.0¢ | $24.77 | 2026-10-03 |
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-03: On the watchlist → Followed by the desk — score 81
Follow rplc-ftbl on paper, at your size
Stratex Hub mirrors the desk's copies from published wallets into a paper account sized to your bankroll, and benchmarks every one against blind copying. No keys, no funds, nothing to install. Free for 90 days.
Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed