Stavaharon: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -30.0% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 355 36 resolved · 10% of them
- Win rate
- 28% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -30% $10794.14 on $42344.74 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Stavaharon actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 50 | 4 | 0% | −$89.44 |
| Other markets | 40 | 95 | 0% | −$15977.87 |
| Sports | 19 | 256 | 29% | −$92406.05 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $1017.68; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-05: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -30.0% below floor
Follow Stavaharon on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed