Basel28: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?

0xd6562966e8e24cb87b0c789e88b18a428068fa7a · leaderboard rank #221 · on Polymarket ↗

Too illiquid to copy Rejected

Typical market holds $464 — below the $5000 floor. Reservation: margin on volume -32.9% below floor. thin markets (avg liquidity $464); wide spreads (avg 18.8c).

Trades, 30 days
179
157 resolved · 88% of them
Win rate
46%
on resolved markets
Margin on volume
-33%
$9857.48 on $87676.88 traded
Copyability
42/100
liquidity, spread, post-fill drift

Where Basel28 actually wins

Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.

CategoryScoreMarketsWin rateP&L
Other markets2412955%−$14749.21
Sports165022%−$3430.93

Could you have copied these trades?

Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $309.12; average spread paid 18.8¢; average book liquidity $464.31. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.

How the desk's view changed

  • 2026-10-05: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -32.9% below floor

Follow Basel28 on paper, at your size

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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed

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Figures are the desk's 30-day research read of public Polymarket data, refreshed every few hours. “Margin on volume” is net P&L ÷ traded volume, not return on capital. Paper results are simulated. Nothing here is financial advice. Last updated 2026-10-05.