Ka4eli: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?

0xa8f16d8d3236e1c84c0c5749ceff7f1ccd45fee6 · leaderboard rank #257 · on Polymarket ↗

Copyable Rejected

Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -7.0% below floor. wide spreads (avg 8.5c).

Trades, 30 days: 380
Win rate: 49%
Margin on volume: -7%
Copyability: 45/100

Where Ka4eli actually wins

Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.

Category	Score	Markets	Win rate	P&L
Other markets	20	380	49%	−$1784.37

Could you have copied these trades?

Typical entry about 5 hours before resolution. Average fill size $67.40; average spread paid 8.5¢; average book liquidity $6155.14. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.

How the desk's view changed

2026-10-01: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -7.0% below floor

Follow Ka4eli on paper, at your size

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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed

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Figures are the desk's 30-day research read of public Polymarket data, refreshed every few hours. “Margin on volume” is net P&L ÷ traded volume, not return on capital. Paper results are simulated. Nothing here is financial advice. Last updated 2026-10-01.