MinasMorgul: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too illiquid to copy Rejected
Typical market holds $20 — below the $5000 floor. Reservation: ROI -13.1% below floor. thin markets (avg liquidity $20); wide spreads (avg 98.9c).
- Trades, 30 days
- 358 130 resolved · 36% of them
- Win rate
- 45% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -13% $4477.22 on $3243.91 traded
- Copyability
- 42 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where MinasMorgul actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 24 | 101 | 36% | −$282.48 |
| Sports | 21 | 257 | 46% | −$1103.37 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 7 days before resolution. Average fill size $29.63; average spread paid 98.9¢; average book liquidity $19.96. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow MinasMorgul on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed