12f842n2e76: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: 60% of profit from a single trade; margin on volume -11.5% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 337 118 resolved · 35% of them
- Win rate
- 20% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -12% $7096.58 on $77630.66 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where 12f842n2e76 actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 50 | 3 | 0% | −$500.67 |
| Other markets | 33 | 5 | 0% | −$21.87 |
| Sports | 11 | 329 | 21% | −$2312.86 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $72.92; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. A large share of the profit came from one market, which is not a repeatable signal.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-06: On the watchlist → Rejected — 60% of profit from a single trade
Follow 12f842n2e76 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed