nonikeyl: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -13.3% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 280 64 resolved · 23% of them
- Win rate
- 52% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -13% $2595.02 on $10282.37 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where nonikeyl actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 56 | 1 | 100% | $95.60 |
| Other markets | 24 | 279 | 51% | −$5483.39 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 8 hours before resolution. Average fill size $144.59; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-09: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -13.3% below floor
Follow nonikeyl on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed