betwick: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only On the watchlist
Edge only in macro — copy that category alone. Reservation: 61% of profit from a single trade; win rate rests on only 3 settled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 373 129 resolved · 35% of them
- Win rate
- 99% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 73% $1566.23 on $0.00 traded
- Copyability
- 80 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where betwick actually wins
Best category: Macro & economics. Rates, inflation prints, central-bank decisions. Scheduled resolution and heavy institutional positioning; the source wallet's timing is the whole edge.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macro & economics | 97 | 171 | 100% | $269513.76 |
| Geopolitics | 60 | 96 | 67% | $11990.37 |
| Other markets | 50 | 106 | 0% | −$18793.72 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 19 days before resolution. Average fill size $961.63; average spread paid 1.1¢; average book liquidity $177928.27. A large share of the profit came from one market, which is not a repeatable signal.
Follow betwick on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed