Erasmus.: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable On the watchlist
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: win rate rests on only 2 settled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 144 42 resolved · 29% of them
- Win rate
- 88% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 26% $10992.38 on $155367.13 traded
- Copyability
- 81 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Erasmus. actually wins
Best category: Macro & economics. Rates, inflation prints, central-bank decisions. Scheduled resolution and heavy institutional positioning; the source wallet's timing is the whole edge.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macro & economics | 88 | 140 | 88% | $416829.70 |
| Politics | 50 | 2 | 0% | $2585.60 |
| Other markets | 50 | 2 | 0% | −$628.32 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 42 days before resolution. Average fill size $10975.64; average spread paid 1.0¢; average book liquidity $522810.86. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow Erasmus. on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed