PalaBet: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -15.6% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 218 15 resolved · 7% of them
- Win rate
- 60% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -16% $2561.50 on $7144.64 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where PalaBet actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 50 | 4 | 0% | −$82.00 |
| Sports | 40 | 34 | 33% | −$1009.48 |
| Other markets | 36 | 180 | 67% | −$2900.45 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 7 days before resolution. Average fill size $117.64; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-10: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -15.6% below floor
Follow PalaBet on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed