HAGIII: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: ROI -19.6% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 379 122 resolved · 32% of them
- Win rate
- 39% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -20% $10062.04 on $33942.69 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where HAGIII actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 50 | 6 | 0% | −$532.58 |
| Other markets | 18 | 373 | 39% | −$12027.60 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 7 days before resolution. Average fill size $169.12; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow HAGIII on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed