youbao: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too early to copy On the watchlist
Enters a median 96d before resolution — capital would sit idle. Reservation: margin on volume -22.2% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 339 226 resolved · 67% of them
- Win rate
- 36% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -22% $3067.74 on $9699.98 traded
- Copyability
- 84 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where youbao actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 75 | 58 | 82% | $1088.07 |
| Sports | 56 | 2 | 50% | $358.36 |
| Other markets | 15 | 279 | 34% | −$11366.74 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 96 days before resolution. Average fill size $131.56; average spread paid 0.1¢; average book liquidity $771142.27. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow youbao on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed