arehovbrow: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?

0xb2099689a0fb0138c48f92619d516e432cbbad88 · leaderboard rank #441 · on Polymarket ↗

Too illiquid to copy Rejected

Typical market holds $4875 — below the $5000 floor. Reservation: margin on volume -11.4% below floor. thin markets (avg liquidity $4875).

Trades, 30 days
290
16 resolved · 6% of them
Win rate
44%
on resolved markets
Margin on volume
-11%
$2418.71 on $13892.78 traded
Copyability
58/100
liquidity, spread, post-fill drift

Where arehovbrow actually wins

Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.

CategoryScoreMarketsWin rateP&L
Geopolitics5010%$0.00
Other markets2828944%−$1263.07

Could you have copied these trades?

Typical entry about 16 hours before resolution. Average fill size $38.27; average spread paid 3.7¢; average book liquidity $4791.29. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.

How the desk's view changed

  • 2026-10-14: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -11.4% below floor

Follow arehovbrow on paper, at your size

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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed

Similar geopolitics wallets

Figures are the desk's 30-day research read of public Polymarket data, refreshed every few hours. “Margin on volume” is net P&L ÷ traded volume, not return on capital. Paper results are simulated. Nothing here is financial advice. Last updated 2026-10-14.