firegold: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -3.0% below floor. wide spreads (avg 5.7c).
- Trades, 30 days
- 366 91 resolved · 25% of them
- Win rate
- 24% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -3% $4160.39 on $6018.69 traded
- Copyability
- 56 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where firegold actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 50 | 8 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Macro & economics | 43 | 116 | 100% | −$1432.99 |
| Other markets | 38 | 242 | 4% | $592.83 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 5 days before resolution. Average fill size $77.39; average spread paid 3.8¢; average book liquidity $31557.38. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-09-30: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -3.0% below floor
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed