12monkeys: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?

0xaebf3acc7c9add4928bd218f96de5cf64987e1ca · leaderboard rank #160 · on Polymarket ↗

Copyable Rejected

Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: ROI -25.3% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.

Trades, 30 days
309
109 resolved · 35% of them
Win rate
9%
on resolved markets
Margin on volume
-25%
$9443.40 on $50998.14 traded
Copyability
54/100
liquidity, spread, post-fill drift

Where 12monkeys actually wins

Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.

CategoryScoreMarketsWin rateP&L
Geopolitics5070%$0.00
Sports225526%−$1250.85
Other markets62476%−$41190.81

Could you have copied these trades?

Typical entry about 12 hours before resolution. Average fill size $542.85; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.

Follow 12monkeys on paper, at your size

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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed

Similar geopolitics wallets

Figures are the desk's 30-day research read of public Polymarket data, refreshed every few hours. “Margin on volume” is net P&L ÷ traded volume, not return on capital. Paper results are simulated. Nothing here is financial advice. Last updated 2026-09-24.