horrocrux: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -17.4% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 123 30 resolved · 24% of them
- Win rate
- 50% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -17% $5197.54 on $50141.01 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where horrocrux actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 50 | 1 | 0% | −$400.00 |
| Crypto | 50 | 3 | 0% | −$110.00 |
| Other markets | 44 | 62 | 50% | −$11430.91 |
| Sports | 27 | 57 | 50% | −$9306.36 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $990.34; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-07: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -17.4% below floor
Follow horrocrux on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed