justwins: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?

0xa2cced8bfae7d645f7f437fb76becf2fcbb70cbc · leaderboard rank #21 · on Polymarket ↗

Copyable Rejected

Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -5.1% below floor. wide spreads (avg 12.5c).

Trades, 30 days
386
155 resolved · 40% of them
Win rate
62%
on resolved markets
Margin on volume
-5%
$45395.66 on $875520.98 traded
Copyability
56/100
liquidity, spread, post-fill drift

Where justwins actually wins

Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.

CategoryScoreMarketsWin rateP&L
Other markets4531968%−$669.87
Sports18670%−$28776.10

Could you have copied these trades?

Typical entry about 3 hours before resolution. Average fill size $1489.75; average spread paid 10.6¢; average book liquidity $138347.01. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.

How the desk's view changed

  • 2026-10-04: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -5.1% below floor

Follow justwins on paper, at your size

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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed

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Figures are the desk's 30-day research read of public Polymarket data, refreshed every few hours. “Margin on volume” is net P&L ÷ traded volume, not return on capital. Paper results are simulated. Nothing here is financial advice. Last updated 2026-10-04.