macrosteaks: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: win rate rests on only 2 settled markets; ROI -15.8% below floor. wide spreads (avg 5.7c).
- Trades, 30 days
- 363 13 resolved · 4% of them
- Win rate
- 38% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -16% $747.09 on $5091.82 traded
- Copyability
- 55 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where macrosteaks actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 50 | 156 | 0% | −$617.99 |
| Culture & entertainment | 50 | 17 | 0% | $51.06 |
| Sports | 50 | 21 | 0% | $120.42 |
| Geopolitics | 50 | 5 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Macro & economics | 50 | 1 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Politics | 29 | 163 | 38% | −$902.37 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 22 days before resolution. Average fill size $23.53; average spread paid 5.8¢; average book liquidity $13482.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow macrosteaks on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed