ElsaMi: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable On the watchlist
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -8.1% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 354 43 resolved · 12% of them
- Win rate
- 49% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -8% $4951.64 on $22612.40 traded
- Copyability
- 81 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where ElsaMi actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 50 | 218 | 0% | −$182.22 |
| Other markets | 50 | 26 | 0% | $63.80 |
| Sports | 50 | 32 | 0% | −$2485.42 |
| Politics | 50 | 3 | 0% | $3.21 |
| Crypto | 26 | 75 | 49% | −$44.09 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 17 days before resolution. Average fill size $92.75; average spread paid 1.0¢; average book liquidity $1909820.84. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow ElsaMi on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed