AG4747: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -42.1% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 241 74 resolved · 31% of them
- Win rate
- 36% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -42% $6210.97 on $7809.21 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where AG4747 actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 44 | 3 | 67% | −$573.21 |
| Sports | 38 | 12 | 63% | −$50.58 |
| Other markets | 17 | 226 | 32% | −$12164.98 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $125.90; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-09-27: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -42.1% below floor
Follow AG4747 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed