notssf3: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: win rate rests on only 3 settled markets; margin on volume -8.8% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 349 11 resolved · 3% of them
- Win rate
- 9% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -9% $3536.81 on $25826.95 traded
- Copyability
- 80 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where notssf3 actually wins
Best category: Politics. Elections, nominations, legislation. Long horizons and news-driven repricing; a wallet that looks brilliant here often entered months early, which a follower cannot replicate.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 50 | 98 | 0% | −$52.55 |
| Geopolitics | 50 | 7 | 0% | $295.05 |
| Other markets | 23 | 244 | 9% | −$7946.47 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 48 days before resolution. Average fill size $251.83; average spread paid 1.5¢; average book liquidity $100146.69. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-17: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 3 settled markets
Follow notssf3 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed