0xe234…304a: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only Rejected
Edge only in politics — copy that category alone. Reservation: win rate rests on only 1 settled market; margin on volume -3.2% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 374 14 resolved · 4% of them
- Win rate
- 86% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -3% $4855.83 on $90060.96 traded
- Copyability
- 80 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where 0xe234…304a actually wins
Best category: Politics. Elections, nominations, legislation. Long horizons and news-driven repricing; a wallet that looks brilliant here often entered months early, which a follower cannot replicate.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 78 | 53 | 86% | $3606.93 |
| Geopolitics | 50 | 204 | 0% | −$2243.89 |
| Other markets | 50 | 117 | 0% | −$6451.68 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 4 days before resolution. Average fill size $423.90; average spread paid 1.0¢; average book liquidity $147877.68. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-09-30: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 1 settled market
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed