Lukasz273: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only Rejected
Edge only in geopolitics — copy that category alone. Reservation: ROI -19.9% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 323 115 resolved · 36% of them
- Win rate
- 47% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -20% $2180.50 on $3835.99 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Lukasz273 actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 80 | 12 | 100% | $499.90 |
| Other markets | 19 | 311 | 41% | −$8451.24 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 3 hours before resolution. Average fill size $123.50; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed