jomantsago: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too illiquid to copy Rejected
Typical market holds $2892 — below the $5000 floor. Reservation: margin on volume -20.3% below floor. thin markets (avg liquidity $2892).
- Trades, 30 days
- 342 102 resolved · 30% of them
- Win rate
- 31% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -20% $3085.94 on $13244.73 traded
- Copyability
- 62 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where jomantsago actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 44 | 1 | 0% | −$742.00 |
| Sports | 35 | 69 | 35% | −$75.13 |
| Other markets | 16 | 272 | 31% | −$16114.05 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 3 days before resolution. Average fill size $244.11; average spread paid 2.2¢; average book liquidity $2892.05. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-16: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -20.3% below floor
Follow jomantsago on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed