0x3bf5…2307: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -22.2% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 382 223 resolved · 58% of them
- Win rate
- 68% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -22% $7683.66 on $109568.07 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where 0x3bf5…2307 actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 59 | 2 | 100% | $19.80 |
| Other markets | 28 | 380 | 68% | −$18727.16 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry unknown (no end dates on sampled markets). Average fill size $220.62; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-09-28: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -22.2% below floor
Follow 0x3bf5…2307 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed