0x2801…ca4a: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -20.1% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 122 58 resolved · 48% of them
- Win rate
- 26% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -20% $5194.03 on $9381.33 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where 0x2801…ca4a actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 60 | 3 | 100% | $526.39 |
| Other markets | 25 | 77 | 42% | −$6523.62 |
| Sports | 13 | 42 | 9% | −$1635.70 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 7 days before resolution. Average fill size $311.99; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-03: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -20.1% below floor
Follow 0x2801…ca4a on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed