slowdance: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: win rate rests on only 5 settled markets; margin on volume -12.7% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 29 27 resolved · 93% of them
- Win rate
- 70% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -13% $2841.56 on $4077.60 traded
- Copyability
- 77 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where slowdance actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 40 | 19 | 89% | −$3923.64 |
| Other markets | 30 | 10 | 25% | −$865.89 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 23 days before resolution. Average fill size $1299.96; average spread paid 1.0¢; average book liquidity $91001.73. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-04: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 5 settled markets
Follow slowdance on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed