881112: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: win rate rests on only 5 settled markets; margin on volume -15.6% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 374 11 resolved · 3% of them
- Win rate
- 0% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -16% $4229.41 on $22223.16 traded
- Copyability
- 76 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where 881112 actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 50 | 83 | 0% | −$3491.21 |
| Politics | 50 | 17 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Macro & economics | 50 | 7 | 0% | $3002.88 |
| Other markets | 33 | 154 | 0% | −$921.03 |
| Sports | 27 | 113 | 0% | −$6056.95 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 32 days before resolution. Average fill size $128.11; average spread paid 1.2¢; average book liquidity $88313.36. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-09-30: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 5 settled markets
Follow 881112 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed