tinashi1199zz: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?

0xfd4fb07f091e6a6d212f6e4876bd2ebc91bca4d3 · leaderboard rank #246 · on Polymarket ↗

Copyable Rejected

Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -53.8% below floor.

Trades, 30 days
369
168 resolved · 46% of them
Win rate
50%
on resolved markets
Margin on volume
-54%
$4555.29 on $30069.61 traded
Copyability
68/100
liquidity, spread, post-fill drift

Where tinashi1199zz actually wins

Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.

CategoryScoreMarketsWin rateP&L
Geopolitics5050%$0.00
Sports4918100%−$9478.24
Other markets2134650%−$2544.65

Could you have copied these trades?

Typical entry about 16 hours before resolution. Average fill size $60.52; average spread paid 1.2¢; average book liquidity $12591.24. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.

How the desk's view changed

  • 2026-10-02: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -53.8% below floor

Follow tinashi1199zz on paper, at your size

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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed

Similar geopolitics wallets

Figures are the desk's 30-day research read of public Polymarket data, refreshed every few hours. “Margin on volume” is net P&L ÷ traded volume, not return on capital. Paper results are simulated. Nothing here is financial advice. Last updated 2026-10-02.