DumplingBMF: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too early to copy Rejected
Enters a median 99d before resolution — capital would sit idle. Reservation: ROI -32.0% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 373 222 resolved · 60% of them
- Win rate
- 62% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -32% $1206.31 on $2322.97 traded
- Copyability
- 68 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where DumplingBMF actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 36 | 64 | 76% | −$4465.83 |
| Other markets | 25 | 309 | 60% | −$22469.01 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 99 days before resolution. Average fill size $225.49; average spread paid 1.4¢; average book liquidity $14289.11. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow DumplingBMF on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed