Merc63: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -20.2% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 376 41 resolved · 11% of them
- Win rate
- 39% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -20% $2612.79 on $40000.45 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Merc63 actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 50 | 6 | 0% | −$500.00 |
| Other markets | 27 | 251 | 31% | −$14937.43 |
| Sports | 24 | 119 | 43% | −$14355.04 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 7 days before resolution. Average fill size $391.82; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-14: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -20.2% below floor
Follow Merc63 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed