chubbytoro: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: win rate rests on only 4 settled markets; margin on volume -34.7% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 394 321 resolved · 81% of them
- Win rate
- 71% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -35% $54295.73 on $51478.36 traded
- Copyability
- 65 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where chubbytoro actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 50 | 3 | 0% | $4.82 |
| Sports | 29 | 391 | 71% | −$56200.04 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 2 hours before resolution. Average fill size $411.01; average spread paid 3.0¢; average book liquidity $24283.27. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-01: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 4 settled markets
Follow chubbytoro on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed